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Haven't read your whole post yet but just wanted to type my thoughts on your UK supply being able to supply the UK market being a myth statement.
Of course uk supply could manage, it's purely price point and convenience we fail on.
If necessary we could overwinter more nucs to fill the gap, without doubt.
I'm not arguing here that we should do this, just refuting your definitive statement.
Its a matter of timing.....people want them too early...and phasing..the UK cycle of bee needs differs from other places.
Phasing is that when an area suffers catastrophic losses (as occasionally happens) it affects the bee producers just as badly as their potential clients.
There are no big UK producers because the years when it is simple to supply bees not many people need them......and the years when lots of people need them not many people have them. Yes..the concept is superficially valid and a very simple view says why not make more nucs but it just is not that simple.
Phasing is actually the long term killer on the concept. If it was a real runner it would mean a significant UK bee producing industry...but it is absent and always has been.....even at our number we still constitute merely a cottage industry..and doing the sums over a decade long cycle the 'phasing' issue is a severe hazard to long term viability.
Thats why access to bees from areas in a different phase of the good and bad wintering cycle is crucial for early supplies.
A handful of nucs, and under 100 IS sadly a handful, is not going to dent the trade. Also most nucs traded locally I have seen are bees that are not conducive to bee farming...cull fodder to us...so the quality needs raising a a major way. The nuc standard should say much more about the actual bees and not really just be about size. Many of these 'nice locally adapted bees' are actually aggressive and problematical in many ways *from our perspective*...but some people like them.
In business nature abhors a vaccuum................UK supplies would have filled it long ago if it actually worked.
Price point and convenience. Have you not just defined the same thing I said? Nether work.
You COULD make it work with a lot of very regressive legislation banning almost everything else allied to severe enforcement. ( By regressive I am not being abusive..I mean turn back the clock to an earlier era.)