I very much doubt there is evidence as such if you mean a neat little paper by a PHD grad.
However there is a mass of anecdotal evidence which exists including mine as I had a very distinct sup strain of bees.
a friend of mine had one instance where the sup had lasted 18 months, backed by clipped and marked queens. A very experienced Bee Farmer at that so I believe him implicitly.
I believe it is more common than many realise as most do not mark and clip so are unaware it has happened.
PH
PH, anecdotal eveidence is perfectably valid - but there's not much documented evidence of any kind out there that I can find. I found an article on inducing supercedure on Dave Cushman's web site which involved inserting a "protected" queen cell into a queenright colony, and an account of another (IMHO unethical) method of inducing supercedure by purposefully damaging the queen.
Perhaps you would be good enough to share your experience of supercedure?
When you find queen cells, how do you come to the conclusion that they are supercedure cells and therefore make the decision NOT to do an AS and to leave them there?
The books mostly agree that the signs of supercedure are a small number of queen cells in the central area of a frame late in the season (July/August), but is that all we have to go on or is there any way to be more confident in correctly identifying supercedure?
Is there any way of managing the supercedure process (and minimising the downside if the bees end up swarming)?
BTW in the case of your friend, do you mean to say that there were 2 queens in his colony, for 18 months?
If supercedure is more common than we all think it is (and I have no reason to disagree), then I assume that we may well prevent it from taking place in many cases simply because of the way we are deal with queen cells (i.e. doing an AS).