Finman;506007Estimate of colony loss. Oh dear
.[/QUOTE said:
Actually this is quite important. We are being canvassed already by official bodies and journalists for an opinion on this, stories are being written, and policies (if any) being formulated as to how to respond to a potential lack of bees in spring.
My opinion if that losses will be highish this coming winter for a combination of reasons, not all of which are applicable to all parts of the UK. The south and east had a far kinder season than the north and west, where we almost had a whole season of cool to cold, wet, and windy weather, and the only exception fell right in the June gap. Flowers and foul weather went together all season, as did dearths and delightful weather.
Anyway...the reasoning.
1. Poor queens. It seems to be the fashion to force breeding onto the bees at an early stage of the season, and sadly anything raised between late April and the start of June is of questionable quality, many already failing. Apparently well mated laying queens becoming drone layers in as little as a month after first brood. June queens are almost universally excellent.
2. Varroa and damage caused by control methods. Many have been asking advice about varroa this year and in the last few weeks have had several beekeepers looking to buy queens, even this week, after queen loss due to the use of formic acid. Have one guy wanting to apply that and/or amitraz in the next two weeks, but in my opinion the damage may already be done.
3. Lack of young bees. The weather of the last few weeks came too late for many colonies. Their brood rearing was curtailed from late July and once it was into September it only restarted at a nominal rate.
4. Winter bees burnt out. In northern areas where there is no ivy to give a late brood rearing boost the heather flowered especially late (some areas did not START until first week of September). As brood rearing had already stopped the bees that went out and gathered the harvest were the overwintering bees that normally would have done little but store the feed and see the winter out. This activity shortens their lives quite markedly, and it remains to be seen how many bees are left alive in some colonies by the time we reach crossover day in the spring (crossover day is the point when young bees hatching starts to exceed old bees dying). Last year the bees had to do their work so late the losses in this part of Scotland were huge.
5. More than normal foraging on honeydew. Watch out for any signs of dysentery as a result.