I would say a lot depends on where you are and how prolific your bees are.
Some people seem to manage in a single National but, here in Bedfordshire, I use double poly Langstroths with my Carniolans.
I think a lot also depends on how established the colony is. Let me explain what I mean:
The year that a queen is mated, she has a lot of work to do establishing her own colony. The bees she has in the beginning were probably daughters of her mother (in the case of a supercedure) or some other queen (in the case of a nuc). By autumn, if she has done well enough, the colony will have enough stores and the queen will have laid enough eggs for the colony to overwinter with lots of young daughters of the queen.
Now, the following spring, she'll be in the prime of her life and raring to go. If she is constrained by a lack of space, the colony can begin swarming preparations even though their queen is still quite young. This is why I aim to get queens into a double brood chamber as soon as possible (although only if the colony grows to occupy that space). If they overwintered in a single brood chamber, I would expect to add another as they grow in the spring.
In subsequent years, I would expect them to need a double box. This gives plenty of space for brood and food stores so I don't have to provide them with emergency food.
This is just how I work though. As PH says, further north where he is this would be too much space. You'll have to learn from your own experience or, better yet, if you have a local mentor.